Thursday, December 27, 2007

Eli Just Threw Another Interception

All I've heard for the past season of talk radio, when not discussing Johan Santana or the Mitchell Report, is that Eli Manning is terrible. There's little debate from the fanbase. It's been three and a half years of starts for Eli Manning and since that's more than enough time to judge the career of Eli, it is worth doing so. There's no doubt this is a fairly thin era for the quarterback, in an an era in which the position is as important as it's ever been. So where does Eli stand? Here's my rankings of all of the (meaningful) QBs in the NFL today.

1.) Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots - Maybe you've heard of him. There's no sense in debating it, especially after this season. He's got the rings and he can certainly put up the numbers. He's an easy choice and the only choice.

2.) Peyton Manning, QB, Indianapolis Colts - Another clear choice, but clearly No. 2. If he could win a few more Super Bowls, he could stack up with Brady. As it stands, Brady and Manning are clearly the best two QBs in the NFL and the only surefire Hall of Famers on this list currently in their prime (though Peyton is fast approaching decline).

3.) Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers - A year ago, Roethlisberger is in the 5-10 region, second tier, in the league. This year, he finally put up the numbers to match his winning record. This is also the first year I felt Roethlisberger did more to win games than the rest of his team. He stepped out from the shadow and earned a top 5 ranking on this list. He's probably the only QB in the top 10 of this list that has entered his prime as well (Tony Romo and David Garrard are still building to their prime).

4.) Brett Favre, QB, Green Bay Packers - Favre is, of course, the only other surefire Hall of Famer, but is certainly significantly past his prime. He's a great quarterback, but he's never been one of my favorites, because he has the one trait you hate in a QB more than any other - reckless inconsistently. Earlier in his career he was a gunslinger, yes, but people who say "Oh, he's always been like that" are simply not correct. From 1994 to 1997, the prime of his career, he was +89 in TDs to INTs. And while he is still a very effective QB in these slim times, his +11 number this year is tied for the seventh best total of his career - hardly more than average.

5.) Tony Romo, QB, Dallas Cowboys - I don't rank him as high as some might because of his short resume. I certainly think he has the ability to be great, but let's let him show it first. The NFC is weak and doesn't figure to get stronger any time within the next few years due to a strange phenomenon in which the AFC dominates both the top of the league (Pats, Colts, Steelers) and the bottom (Dolphins, Raiders, Ravens, Jets) and therefore the draft. That gives Romo plenty of chances to make a mark in a Super Bowl and increase his position on this list. With Favre almost done, and Matt Hasselbeck on the downslope, Romo is the only clear top level starter in the NFC.

6.) Matt Hasselbeck, QB, Seattle Seahawks - Hasselbeck is clearly on the downside of his career, but he has a few good years left in him. This year he showed he can still carry a team when it's necessary. The gap between Romo and Hasselbeck is not very big. I gave serious consideration to switching them on this list. Hasselbeck has taken his team to a Super Bowl and put up Pro Bowl numbers for more than one and a half years. He's also five years older though and over the next five years Romo will be entering his prime, whereas Hasselbeck will be closing out his career. I really like Hasselbeck, but I doubt he'll ever get another chance to win a Super Bowl. He's still underrated and deserves this spot on the list.

7.) Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints - In the interest of full disclosure, Brees absolutely ruined my fantasy football team this year. I'm still bitter. But I do like Brees on the whole. I wrote an article many years ago (which you can look up on Google) advocating the Chargers not drafting Eli Manning or Philip Rivers and instead building around Brees, who I felt was very underrated. Granted they fleeced the Giants and that was the right thing to do, but the point still remains - Brees was underrated and has since proved it. He's also clearly still better than both Manning and Rivers these four years later. He should rebound next year with Deuce McAllister back.

8.) Carson Palmer, QB, Cincinnati Bengals - If you could build a prototypical QB, Brady and Peyton Manning would be the two closest currently playing, but Palmer would be third. He had an awful year in 2007. There's no debating how bad he was considering how many weapons he has to throw to. But let's not forget that he threw 60 TDs and 25 INTs the past two seasons. If he hadn't had such an awful year in 2007, he'd be a few spots higher on this list. There was no excuse for this year, but at his best he's the third QB in the league. This year he was about the 15th best, so I'll put him somewhere in the middle.

9.) David Garrard, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars - I'd like to put Garrard higher on this list, but he's done nothing to justify it. I also have a sneaking suspiscion he's very lucky to have Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew in his backfield. Could he go out and win as the leader of his team? I have no idea. As I wrote earlier, Roethlisberger was in that position in the past. He's come out and shown he can. Garrard has yet to do that. He's still a top 10 QB though because he's done exactly what he should in the current role he inhabits. He doesn't make mistakes, almost literally none, and that's a great boost to his team. You can't ask a player to do anything more than play to the gameplan and play to it well. Garrard always does that.

10.) Jeff Garcia, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Garcia is only six months younger than Brett Favre, so despite having a good season and a good track record of winning (except for on the Browns, of course), he's almost done. Still though, put him on a good team and he can carry you to the playoffs. I'm not sure he'd do it in the AFC, but he doesn't play in the AFC, so we'll never know. He's also pretty injury prone. But he was second in the NFL in fewest INTs per pass attempts (to Garrard) and he wins games.

11.) Marc Bulger, QB, St. Louis Rams - I don't exactly know what to do with Bulger. I think you could probably put him ninth, but you could just as easily put him here. He is a legitimate starter in this league and once you get past No. 13 (as you'll see), that isn't necessarily the case aymore. He was awful in every category this year, even moreso than Carson Palmer. His team just totally imploded. And frankly he didn't deserve the money he got on his contract prior to this year, because he's really only had one great season (2006) while he's being paid like a top 5 QB. He isn't that, but he is an entrenched starter.

12.) Donovan McNabb, QB, Philadelphia Eagles - No one likes McNabb in Philly, but he is still good enough to win games. McNabb's biggest problem, and it is a big one, is injuries. On the field, he still puts up pretty good numbers. There's no doubt he's on the downside of his career though and as a mobile QB that means even more. He can be a decent pocket passer with the right team around him and he's still clearly in the top half of the league. His completion percentage is low, but his INTs are low too. And let's not forget the only time he had a legit wide receiver, he went to the Super Bowl. I think he could still, in a weak NFC, and assuming he somehow stays healthy a full year.

13.) Jake Delhomme, QB, Carolina Panthers - It's a bit hard to know what to do with Delhomme considering he didn't play much at all this year. He actually played very well when he did (8 TDs, 1 INT in 3 games), but his arm injury could be pretty serious and he's not exactly a young pup. If he bounces back and plays like he did in 2004 and 2005 he can be a top 10 QB. He was showing some signs of decline last year (though not large signs, still a lower QB rating and 7 fewer TDs than in 2005 despite just 4 less attempts) and his return is still a question mark. I've always like Delhomme though, so hopefully he'll bounce back. If he does, he'll surpass Jeff Garcia at least, who is certainly on the decline, and probably Donovan McNabb as well.

13.) Jay Cutler, QB, Denver Broncos - See? That's what we call a drop. I think Cutler has the potential to be a Pro Bowl QB in this league, but we obviously haven't seen it yet. His team is average at best and his offensive weapons are as well. His offensive line isn't nearly as good as the Broncos have had in recent years and while Brandon Marshall is a talented receiver, he's still developing along with Cutler. Travis Henry didn't work out nearly as well as everyone (including me) thought he would. He has a big arm and he has a much better completion percentage than any of the other young QBs who'd be in this spot (Derek Anderson, Philip Rivers, Eli Manning). He just needs to learn the position more and the team needs to get stronger around him.

14.) Derek Anderson, QB, Cleveland Browns - I'm a Browns fan and I hold Anderson to high standards. He's had one good season and it wasn't as good as most would like you to believe. He didn't deserve the Pro Bowl many thought he got snubbed on. The first six weeks, he went up and down like a yo-yo in QB ratings. After that he settled into a very mediocre string for the rest of the season, hovering in the 70s and low 80s. That's not terrible, but it's certainly average. And he laid an egg in the biggest game of the season, throwing four interceptions against the Bengals in Week 16. He also has way too low a completion percentage (56.6%) considering his very talented receivers - Braylon Edwards, Joe Jurevicius and Kellen Winslow Jr. We'll see if he builds on this season.

15.) Philip Rivers, QB, San Diego Chargers - Honestly, Rivers's team has done more to justify this position than he has. His numbers were very pedestrian this year. He was very solid last season, but you never like to see a young player take a significant step back, especially on a team that is maybe the most talent rich in the NFL. Maybe it was the coaching change, but even while the rest of the team got it together down the stretch, winning five straight, Rivers had one great game, two good games and two bad games. I think he can be a winning QB, but I'm not sure he'll ever be a star QB. Right now, he really just needs to get out of the way of LaDainian Tomlinson.

16.) Kurt Warner, QB, Arizona Cardinals - I know, I know, older than dirt. He can still play a little in this league though. His numbers (90 QB rating, 3,117 yards, 24 TD, 15 INT) are clearly better than a few guys ahead of him, but his age knocks him down a few notches. If you give him good protection and good receivers he's no different than a Drew Bledsoe or Vinny Testaverde. He can play forever. He's not going to take you to a Super Bowl at this point in his career, but frankly he's better than a lot of younger QBs. If you are building a team, he's obviously not someone you take, but if you want to win a game tomorrow he's better than a dozen supposedly more talented guys.

17.) Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants - Well, well, well, here's our boy. The latter Manning comes in one spot behind the man whose job he took in New York. If you had told me that right now, some four years later, I'd rather have Warner on my team than Eli, I wouldn't have believed you. But honestly, right now that's the case. Manning has been awful this year (70.9 QB rating, 3,085 yards, 19 TDs, 19 INTs). He makes more good plays than a lot of QBs in the league, but he also makes a lot more dumb plays. He instills no confidence in you when watching him. If it weren't for the fact that his team wins, he'd be a few spots lower on this list. The thing that is most scary though is that he's getting progressively worse as a QB. His interceptions and fumbles are trending upwards and his touchdowns are going down. That's just an awful sign for a QB who should be entering his prime.

18.) Matt Schaub, QB, Houston Texans - I'm not sure why everyone expected Schaub to come out this year and put up Pro Bowl numbers, but he did very well for a first-year QB. A few starts in Atlanta in relief didn't mean he wouldn't go through some growing pains in Houston. His numbers were pretty solid, he just needs to cut down on the INTs. He had a 66.4 completion percentage, which is very good. He's in the position where he could really step up and improve next season and launch up a few spots. He has the tools to do so and the completion percentage and lack of sacks is promising.

19.) Chad Pennington, QB, New York Jets - If you play Pennington in the right system he can still be a very effective QB. We all know he's not going to scare you with his arm, but that's fine. He just needs to play in a ball control offense. Give him protection and a good running game and he's a playoff QB. He's not going to win games on his own, but he's not going to lose them either. He did lead the NFL in completion percentage through Week 16 (though only 9 games). Obviously that is because most of his passes were dinks and dunks, but it's still not a bad thing. Minnesota could really use a guy like Pennington.

20.) Jon Kitna, QB, Detroit Lions - Kitna makes a lot of stupid plays. That's the best way to describe his game. He gets sacked too much, he throws too many interceptions and he fumbles too much. I also happen to think he says a lot of stupid things. And he's old and has never won a thing in his life. Other than that, he's a great QB. Granted his protection was awful this year and the running game was always questionable, but there's no excuse for having more INTs than TDs when you have Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson on your team. If he could cut down on all of the stupid plays, he'd be a viable QB in this league. But I'm not holding my breath.

21.) Sage Rosenfels, QB, Houston Texans - It's a bit shocking, I know, but Rosenfels actually had a good season. He's never really had an opportunity to prove himself, but I think he could actually play a little in the NFL. Over the past two years, on an average at best Houston team, he's had 17 TDs and 12 INTs and a 65.1 completion percentage - pretty good numbers. Maybe if you gave him a full season somewhere he'd be awful, but I think he'd be pretty solid. No, he's not a legitimate QB in the league, but his numbers are much better than a lot of young players that will soon be appearing on this list.

22.) Jason Campbell, QB, Washington Redskins - Here's one of those young, up-and-comers in the NFL. I think Campbell is decent, but nothing he does is impressive. And he's been outplayed, albeit in the very short term, by Doug Collins this year. The jury is very much still out, but he's improved slightly from his starting point last season. I don't really see him as being anything more than an average QB in this league, but maybe he'll be slightly better than that.

23.) Vince Young, QB, Tennessee Titans - Just because your team wins, it doesn't mean you are a good QB. Let's be clear, the Titans win because of their defense and this year because of a solid ground attack by LenDale White. Young has 9 TDs and 17 INTs - by far the worst ratio in the NFL. And his 376 yards and 3 TDs rushing aren't exactly groundbreaking either. Tarvaris Jackson, Tony Romo, Ben Roethlisberger and Jay Cutler are about as effective running (similar yards per carry and TDs). Young is a massively overrated QB. He hasn't proven anything in this league yet. His completion percentage and total yards have gone up this year, but almost every other number (TDs, INTs, rushing yards, rushing TDs) has gotten worse. He has a lot of room for improvement and he better start showing it if he really wants to be a top 15 QB in the league.

24.) Damon Huard, QB, Kansas City Chiefs - Huard really impressed me last year. I thought he had a chance to be a halfway decent QB (in the 15-20 range) in the league. Afterall, he did have 11 TDs and only 1 INT. Well, he was given a chance this year from the start and he's been much worse (11 TDs, 13 INTs). He's really only a back-up in this league. As far as back-ups go, he's not awful.

25.) Brian Griese, QB, Chicago Bears - Another back-up in the NFL thrust into a starting role. The only difference is, I never thought he was anything but a back-up. But, again, as far as back-ups go, he's really not that terrible. He's an experienced player at least. You just wish he'd cut down on the interceptions, since there's nothing more devastating than bringing in a back-up and having him throw INTs. Granted he threw the ball 45 times or more in three games this season, which makes absolutely no sense for a player like Griese on a defensive-oriented team.

26.) Trent Edwards, QB, Buffalo Bills - I'd like to rank Edwards higher, but he's way too young and he's done nothing to deserve it. Still though, I like his toughness and he certainly has the ability to move up on this list. I certainly think he has more talent than J.P. Losman, even if that isn't saying much. He should get the chance to start the season next year as the Bills starter and he'll get his chance to prove his ability. The schedule will be tougher next season and teams will be game planning for you. I'd like to see him succeed.

27.) Tarvaris Jackson, QB, Minnesota Vikings - Honestly, I thought Jackson had about a zero percent chance of starting for the Vikings next year and assumed the Vikings would draft a QB this upcoming draft. Then Jackson showed a little skill over a few weeks and I began to think maybe he did have some promise. Turns out, not surprisingly, that was about 100% because of Chester Taylor and Adrian Peterson. But, hey, those guys will be back next year and if Jackson can play all year like he did in Weeks 12 to 14 he could be a starter in this league. That's a big if though. Right now, I'm leaning toward taking a QB if I'm the Vikings, but it's a tough call.

28.) Joey Harrington, QB, Atlanta Falcons - Another year, another benching for Harrington. He's clearly not an NFL QB. But don't worry, he's a good guy and one hell of a piano player. To be fair, he's not nearly as bad as many would have you believe, but he also has no business starting in the NFL. He had a fairly respectable 61.8 completion percentage and a 7 TD-8 INT ratio is bad, but not Vince Young bad or even Tarvaris Jackson or Trent Dilfer bad. He's also not nearly as bad as David Carr, so at least he has that going for him.

29.) Kyle Boller, QB, Baltimore Ravens - Boller is in a similar situation to Harrington. His career is ostensibly over. If he wants to hang on and be a back-up in the league for a few more years, go for it. He's not a starter. Unless the Ravens, and Ozzie Newsome, are crazier than I think, they should draft a QB next year and start him Week 1. The team is collapsing as it is, they might as well start over at QB too. Just be sure the guy you draft (whether it's Brian Brohm, Andre Woodson or Matt Ryan) is mentally tough because his rookie season will be awful.

30.) Cleo Lemon, QB, Miami Dolphins - You can't say he doesn't try hard. Of course, you also can't say he's very good. For the record, I think John Beck is pretty awful too. Bill Parcells has his hands full. If I'm the Dolphins I trade the No. 1 pick and try to get as much for it as possible. I don't think you necessarily draft one of the Big Three in the draft next year, because it will do nothing but crush his spirit to be on this team. There's no question the QB is the most important position, but it's also the most volatile. Bringing a young QB into a halfway decent team is always better than bringing one into an awful team. Even if that seems obvious, it rarely gets done.

So there's your NFL QB rankings. It's a pretty motley crew after you get past the top 13. At least we have two of the greatest of all-time to watch at No. 1 and No. 2.

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

The Duncan Celtics

Okay, so it took me about two months longer than I thought it would, but I finally finished my look into what would've happened had the Boston Celtics won the 1997 NBA Draft Lottery and the resulting No. 1 overall pick which would've turned into Tim Duncan.

This is a very in-depth look at what would have happened to the Celtics over the next decade, up until this off-season of 2007. It started out as a moderately long essay and turned into more or less a book. It's not short, so don't expect to be able to read it in one sitting (unless you plan on sitting in front of a computer screen for 3 or 4 hours).

I'm sure there are a few factual errors in this, because it took a lot of research. Ten years of basketball is a lot of information and the chances of me going back and documenting everything perfectly is unlikely. If you notice any factual errors (as opposed to just opinion), feel free to e-mail me. Of course, feel free to e-mail me with your comments too.

So, enjoy.

The Duncan Celtics (the link will take you to Google docs, for easy reading)

Thursday, May 24, 2007

Lazy Blogging

Today I debut a new feature. It's called the Lazy Update. Basically you take a bunch of topics you care about and comment on each briefly. It's a very common feature among columnists and it's also extremely lazy, because it means you don't really want to do enough research to do it right. I'm glad to join the club.

- The NBA Draft Lottery was two nights ago and the poor Boston Celtics got screwed (again). Of course, so did the Memphis Grizzlies and the Milwaukee Bucks, but seriously, who cares about those never-has-been franchises? I do feel bad for the Celtics though. Back in the early '90s I was actually a fairly large fan of the franchise. I was, obviously a huge Larry Bird, Kevin McHale, Robert Parish guy. I was too young to see them in their heyday, but I saw them enough to know they were great. My friend and I would always pretend to be Larry Bird and Robert Parrish on the playground and for some reason he was always Bird. I happy to be pretty tall now, but I wasn't when I was 8, and yet I was always Parish. I really wanted to love the Celtics again. Maybe it's nostalgia, maybe it's malaise, I don't know. But I can assure you, Yi Jianlian is not going to do it for me when I'm sitting around on a Wednesday night this fall and flipping past Fox Sports New England.

- As another side note to the draft lottery, when did Jon Barry become an idiot? I've heard him throughout this season on ESPN and I thought he was rounding into a pretty decent analyst. And then after the draft he makes some of the dumbest statements I've ever heard - saying that the Trailblazers should trade the No. 1 pick for a veteran and some lower picks. Uh, buddy, do you watch college basketball? Did you see Greg Oden play this year? Are you borderline mentally retarded? I don't really care about the fact that Barry "picked" the Celtics to win the lottery beforehard. It was stupid and pointless (because anyone with an ounce of intelligence would know you should pick the team with the highest odds), but it's a lottery, there's no such thing as a jinx and you can't change the results by a prediction. However, his comments following the draft showed complete incompetence. If you can shock Stephen A. Smith with something you said, it must be extra specially stupid.

- An interesting note, is there any other sport (or competition or whatever you want to call it) where past accomplishments are more impressive than present like with the Indianapolis 500? I was listening to commentary on the qualifying the other day and they mentioned how Rick Mears has won the Indy 500 four times. That's an amazing total (A.J. Foyt and Al Unser also did it by the way). In baseball, all the totals from the past are belittled by today. The competition is so much better in football and basketball today, with so much more parity. College sports have gotten much tougher too. Even NASCAR has gotten tremendously tougher to win in. I still watch the Indy 500, because it's a great event, but it is certainly an anomaly in the sporting world.

- Things that are not news (and the media should stop reporting): Brett Favre reporting to Packers mini-camp, Jason Giambi taking amphetamines, Henry Aaron going to the game when Barry Bonds breaks his record. Media, please take note.

- Diana Taurasi should be the MVP of the WNBA this year, as long as she gets the Mercury into the playoffs. The league desperately wants to give her the trophy, as do the voters supporting the league, but they don't want to jump the gun. If her team makes the playoffs, she'll get the award. That doesn't mean she won't deserve it, I'm just saying. Also, just wanted to mention that Erika de Souza is going to be a really good player for the Sun.

- A few UConn notes to close it out: Brandon Jennings is going to Arizona over UConn (in 2008). Obviously you can't be disappointed with that (it's like being disappointed a TV show pilot you read about wasn't picked up), but you can be disappointed with the recruiting of Jim Calhoun. I don't doubt they'll turn it around, but it's hard to get too enthusiastic about next season with no real encouraging news coming. And for the baseball team, a disappointing regular season, but a late charge from Penders' boys has me content. They won't win the tournament or anything, but it's nice to see them rebound after losing three big pitchers from a year ago. And Rob Bono (from Waterford) is going to be a nice player for them next season on what is a very young team.

- The Spurs will win the title this year. I said it at the start of the playoffs. I'm saying it now. It won't even be close. Four titles for Duncan? Unbelievable. Oh and a huge groundbreaking post coming up soon about Tim Duncan. Not an understatement at all. Stick around, because it will be the biggest thing you've ever read on a blog, anywhere. And when I say biggest, I mean in terms of size mostly, but also importance (in a way). I never lie.

Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Ranking The Doors*

Okay, so for the most part I'll write about sports, but I also happen to be a music fan - especially of the mid to late '60s rock scene. Here's a rundown of my favorite band of all-time - The Doors. I may do something similar for The Beatles (post-Rubber Soul) and Bob Dylan (Highway 61 Revisited and prior). For the record, if I don't get around to doing those lists, the top songs on those lists would be "Eleanor Rigby" and "Like A Rolling Stone" (though to avoid cliche I'll mention "Visions of Johanna" is a top 5 song) respectively.

*Every song from their six studio albums – The Doors, Strange Days, The Soft Parade, Waiting for the Sun, Morrison Hotel, L.A. Woman


1.) The End (The Doors)
2.) When The Music's Over (Strange Days)
3.) Break On Through (To the Other Side) (The Doors)
4.) Five to One (Waiting for the Sun)
5.) Peace Frog (Morrison Hotel)
6.) Light My Fire (The Doors)
7.) L.A. Woman (L.A. Woman)
8.) Soul Kitchen (The Doors)
9.) Not To Touch the Earth (Waiting for the Sun)
10.) The WASP (Texas Radio and the Big Beat) (L.A. Woman)
11.) The Unknown Soldier (Waiting for the Sun)
12.) Riders on the Storm (L.A. Woman)
13.) Twentieth Century Fox (The Doors)
14.) Ship of Fools (Morrison Hotel)
15.) Waiting for the Sun (Morrison Hotel)
16.) Spanish Caravan (Waiting for the Sun)
17.) Roadhouse Blues (Morrison Hotel)
18.) Love Her Madly (L.A. Woman)
19.) Hello, I Love You (Waiting for the Sun)
20.) Touch Me (The Soft Parade)
21.) Back Door Man (The Doors)
22.) Alabama Song (Whisky Bar) (The Doors)
23.) The Crystal Ship (The Doors)
24.) Love Me Two Times (Strange Days)
25.) People Are Strange (Strange Days)
26.) Love Street (Waiting for the Sun)
27.) We Could Be So Good Together (Waiting for the Sun)
28.) Been Down So Long (L.A. Woman)
29.) Moonlight Drive (Strange Days)
30.) The Changeling (L.A. Woman)
31.) L'America (L.A. Woman)
32.) Hyacinth House (L.A. Woman)
33.) Summer's Almost Gone (Waiting for the Sun)
34.) Wintertime Love (Waiting for the Sun)
35.) Wild Child (The Soft Parade)
36.) Yes, the River Knows (Waiting for the Sun)
37.) End of the Night (The Doors)
38.) I Looked At You (The Doors)
39.) Queen of the Highway (Morrison Hotel)
40.) The Spy (Morrison Hotel)
41.) Indian Summer (Morrison Hotel)
42.) Take It As It Comes (The Doors)
43.) My Wild Love (Waiting for the Sun)
44.) Land Ho! (Morrison Hotel)
45.) Cars Hiss By My Window (L.A. Woman)
46.) Crawling King Snake (L.A. Woman)
47.) You Make Me Real (Morrison Hotel)
48.) Strange Days (Strange Days)
49.) Maggie M'Gill (Morrison Hotel)
50.) Wishful Sinful (The Soft Parade)
51.) Do It (The Soft Parade)
52.) All the People (The Soft Parade)
53.) My Eyes Have Seen You (Strange Days)
54.) You're Lost Little Girl (Strange Days)
55.) Shaman's Blues (The Soft Parade)
56.) Blue Sunday (Morrison Hotel)
57.) I Can't See Your Face In My Mind (Strange Days)
58.) The Soft Parade (The Soft Parade)
59.) Unhappy Girl (Strange Days)
60.) Runnin' Blue (The Soft Parade)
61.) Horse Latitudes (Strange Days)
62.) Easy Ride (The Soft Parade)

BREAK DOWN BY CD

The Doors

1. (1.) The End
2. (3.) Break On Through (To the Other Side)
3. (6.) Light My Fire
4. (8.) Soul Kitchen
5. (13.) Twentieth Century Fox
6. (21.) Back Door Man
7. (22.) Alabama Song (Whisky Bar)
8. (23.) The Crystal Ship
9. (37.) End of the Night
10. (38.) I Looked At You
11. (42.) Take It As It Comes

Top 10 Songs: 4
Bottom 10 Songs: 0
Median Song: Back Door Man (No. 21)
Total (All Songs Added): 214
Average Position: 19.45

Strange Days

1. (2.) When the Music's Over
2. (24.) Love Me Two Times
3. (25.) People Are Strange
4. (29.) Moonlight Drive
5. (48.) Strange Days
6. (53.) My Eyes Have Seen You
7. (54.) You're Lost Little Girl
8. (57.) I Can't See Your Face In My Mind
9. (59.) Unhappy Girl
10. (61.) Horse Latitudes

Top 10 Songs: 1
Bottom 10 Songs: 5
Median Song: Strange Days/My Eyes Have Seen You (No. 48/No. 53)
Total (All Songs Added): 412
Average Position: 41.2

The Soft Parade

1. (20.) Touch Me
2. (35.) Wild Child
3. (50.) Wishful Sinful
4. (51.) Do It
5. (52.) All the People
6. (55.) Shaman's Blues
7. (58.) The Soft Parade
8. (60.) Runnin' Blue
9. (62.) Easy Ride

Top 10 Songs: 0
Bottom 10 Songs: 4
Median Song: All the People (No. 52)
Total (All Songs Added): 443
Average Position: 49.2

Waiting for the Sun

1. (4.) Five to One
2. (9.) Not to Touch the Earth
3. (11.) The Unknown Soldier
4. (16.) Spanish Caravan
5. (19.) Hello, I Love You
6. (26.) Love Street
7. (27.) We Could Be So Good Together
8. (33.) Summer's Almost Gone
9. (34.) Wintertime Love
10. (36.) Yes, the River Knows
11. (43.) My Wild Love

Top 10 Songs: 2
Bottom 10 Songs: 0
Median Song: Love Street (No. 26)
Total (All Songs Added): 258
Average Position: 23.45

Morrison Hotel

1. (5.) Peace Frog
2. (14.) Ship of Fools
3. (15.) Waiting for the Sun
4. (17.) Roadhouse Blues
5. (39.) Queen of the Highway
6. (40.) The Spy
7. (41.) Indian Summer
8. (44.) Land Ho!
9. (47.) You Make Me Real
10. (49.) Maggie M'Gill
11. (56.) Blue Sunday

Top 10 Songs: 1
Bottom 10 Songs: 1
Median Song: The Spy (No. 40)
Total (All Songs Added): 367
Average Position: 33.36

L.A. Woman

1. (7.) L.A. Woman
2. (10.) The WASP (Texas Radio and the Big Beat)
3. (12.) Riders on the Storm
4. (18.) Love Her Madly
5. (28.) Been Down So Long
6. (30.) The Changeling
7. (31.) L'America
8. (32.) Hyacinth House
9. (45.) Cars Hiss By My Window
10. (46.) Crawling King Snake

Top 10 Songs: 2
Bottom 10 Songs: 0
Median Song: Been Down So Long/The Changeling (No. 28/No. 30)
Total (All Songs Added): 259
Average Position: 25.9

BEST ALBUMS (By Average)

1. The Doors
2. Waiting for the Sun
3. L.A. Woman
4. Morrison Hotel
5. Strange Days
6. The Soft Parade


I don't think there are a ton of surprises on this list. Obviously it is a matter of personal taste with these things, but no great surprise with The Soft Parade being the worst album. I'm fairly certain even The Doors themselves would agree with that - if they'd stop suing each other long enough to comment anyway. As a note, I put "The End" first mostly because of its totality of artistic impression. It's obviously not a song you are going to listen to for fun, but it's an amazing piece of art from start to finish. I like "When the Music's Over" for much the same reason, and though I like the writing of "When the Music's Over" better than "The End," I chose the latter because it was a more important work and, I think, more enduring. "Break on Through" comes in at No. 3 because, in addition to being amazingly energetic, it must have been one of the most impressive and jolting debut songs ever on an album. Imagine a first time listener putting The Doors on the turntable back in 1967 and being blown away by that song. "Five to One" closes out the top 5 because it is a call to wake up better than any song ever written- you can feel Jim Morrison jumping out of the speakers. Not to mention it contains some of the best lines ever written - "Five to one, baby, one in five, no one here gets, out alive" makes the hair raise on my arms every time I hear it.

Thursday, February 8, 2007

Signing Day

Yes, I'm one of those losers who pays attention to National Signing Day for NCAA football - waiting with bated breath for some 17-year-old high schooler to sign on the dotted line and commit the next 3 to 5 years of their life to pursuing their dream of moving on to the NFL. I mean, going to classes and getting an education. Yeah, that's what I meant.

I follow the recruiting web sites (Rivals, Scout, et. al.) and pretend they know what they are talking about, assessing the skills of a kid who can't yet vote, let alone drink (legally, right Willie Williams?). The coaches don't know what they're getting, so the scouting sites don't know either. So why do I love Signing Day?

For just those reasons. It's a crapshoot. And I love every minute. We can analyze things after the fact, and that's fun too, but it's even more fun to dream. And that's what Signing Day is all about. I like to dream.

So let's talk dreams.

-One of the things I found interesting over the past year was the ranking of Jimmy Clausen. He was the consensus No. 1 rated player forever - over a year. He was the Golden Boy, the second coming of Montana or Elway or Manning. He committed to Notre Dame ages ago, was a So Cal pretty boy with a big arm and he comes from a family of quarterbacks (brothers Casey and Rick). So I wasn't surprised at all to see him slip in the rankings over the past month or two. Rivals kept him No. 1, among others, but Scout and ESPN both dropped him. Scout dropped him to No. 4 and ESPN dropped him all the way down to No. 9. Clearly they got tired of writing about him. They'll say that other players (Joe McKnight, for instance) emerged and that warranted the demotion. They're lying. It's tough to keep talking about a guy like Clausen for years - anointing him. The analysts start to get scared heaping all of this praise on him and they should because the kid has proved nothing. I just find the psyche of the analysts interesting. The same thing has happened to O.J. Mayo in basketball. Two years ago the kid was the second coming of LeBron James, now he's just one of a mix of good players - just like Jimmy Clausen.

-I mentioned Joe McKnight, the running back from Louisiana, who ESPN ranked No. 1 overall. He looks pretty talented, but that's not the point I want to mention. Why would you go to USC when they already have Marc Tyler (another top 15 overall recruit and running back)? I understand the desire to compete and the necessity to "fit in" at a school. Maybe he didn't feel as comfortable with the coaching staff at LSU (his second choice), which is a fine excuse, but he's put himself in a dumb position. McKnight has one of two options at USC - either he works his ass off and beats out Tyler to start or he doesn't. And even if Tyler is terrible in summer conditioning and early practices, he's going to at least get a look by the coaching staff. So why are you putting yourself in that position? I know what people are going to say - he wants to give himself a challenge and that's a good thing. Give me a break. Stop being so rosy-eyed and fancy-free. Joe McKnight wants to play in the NFL and he wants to make a lot of money in the NFL. Sure, he wants to win games in college and the pros too, but if you don't think McKnight wants to be a millionaire in the NFL, you are insanely narrow minded. Heck, if McKnight doesn't want to play in the NFL and be a millionaire, he's an idiot. That's what you are - a very good football player. Putting roadblocks in your way to success is stupid and it's your own fault.

-Since I'm a UConn graduate, I'll break down the UConn incoming class a little too. Randy Edsall was smart in bringing in a junior college quarterback like Tyler Lorenzen, but I'm not sure he's the slam dunk many are thinking. He appears to have the size and ability to be a pocket passer, but the highlights I've seen show him to be anything but. If Edsall can turn him into a pocket passer, then the Huskies have a chance to be decent (at least better than last year). If he can't do that, I'm afraid he's going to be just another D.J. Hernandez or Matt Bonislawski. The first step to improving the Huskies is bringing in the right type of quarterback, even if it's not the right guy. What worries me is that Lorenzen may not be the right type of quarterback, which was pretty obviously shown to be a pro-style, pocket passer over the past two underwhelming seasons. I like the addition of some speed on defense in guys like James Nixon, Marcus Campbell and Jonathon Jean-Louis. And Jasper Howard is an interesting prospect too, because previously all of the speedy Florida athletes Edsall brought in were majorly undersized guys (like Larry Taylor), where as Howard is a step in the right direction at 5-foot-9. He's still not the likes of the athlete top schools get, but at least he's not 5-foot-6. I think Aaron Bagsby is an encouraging prospect (good size and speed at safety) and Kashif Moore is as well, though I think Terence Jeffers will improve a lot this season.

Okay, that's enough of my impressions from Signing Day. Sweet dreams.

Wednesday, February 7, 2007

Manning's Place in History (so far)

Okay, so Peyton Manning finally won his title. And all I've heard for the past few days is where he ranks in the list of all-time great quarterbacks. They talked about it on Cold Pizza and Skip Bayless put him behind Dan Marino. That is ludicrous. He's won a title and will break or come close to breaking all his records. He's ahead of Marino. Anyway, here's the list.

The last number is titles, not just games played in.

1.) Joe Montana (40,551 yards, 273 TDs, 63% pass comp., 4 SB)
2.) Johnny Unitas (39,768 yards, 287 TDs, 55% pass comp., 2 NFL, 1 SB)
3.) Tom Brady (21,564 yards, 147 TDs, 62% pass comp., 3 SB)
4.) Terry Bradshaw (27,989 yards, 212 TDs, 52% pass comp., 4 SB)
5.) John Elway (51,475 yards, 300 TDs, 57% pass comp., 2 SB)
6.) Otto Graham (23,584 yards, 174 TDs, 4 AAFC, 3 NFL)
7.) Peyton Manning (37,586 yards, 275 TDs, 64% pass comp., 1 SB)
8.) Troy Aikman (32,942 yards, 165 TDs, 61% pass comp., 3 SB)
9.) Roger Staubach (22,700 yards, 153 TDs, 57% pass comp., 2 SB)
10.) Dan Marino (61,361 yards, 420 TDs, 59% pass comp., 0 SB)

Positions six, seven, and eight are the hardest on that list. Otto Graham was an amazing quarterback. He revolutionized the position in almost as big a way as Unitas. He played in 10 straight championships and won 7 of them. The only problem is that he played in an era before the Super Bowl. Unitas at least got to cross over into the modern era and start a Super Bowl (though he was hurt in it), which his team won. Graham never got that chance, so it's pretty hard to measure him up, but he was a great player and NEEDS to be in the top 10. Troy Aikman is hard too because his numbers are pretty uninspired, even with so many Hall of Famers on his team. He did win 3 Super Bowls though, and it's not like he was carried along like a Trent Dilfer. He's a bit like Terry Bradshaw in that regard, but Bradshaw has 4 titles and more TDs (though more interceptions too). I'd like to put him lower, but it's hard to put him behind a guy (Elway) with half as many titles.

Tom Brady obviously earns his rank with 3 titles, already tied for third all-time. He may never win another title (though he certainly could), but he'll certainly put up numbers similar to Unitas if he stays healthy. And there's no reason to think he won't. I don't see him ever moving up on the list, but he also will only be knocked down by 1 guy.

That is, of course, Peyton Manning. Manning would have to win at least 1 more title though. If he gets 2 titles in his career, his numbers will dwarf Brady (and everyone but Marino) and he will certainly be in position for second place. I don't see Manning ever passing Montana though. Even though he could compete at a high level for another 6 years or so, it's pretty tough to win 2 titles in 6 years in the salary cap era. He gets those 2 more titles though and he's no worse than second on the list.

Oh, and for the record, Brett Favre is probably 11th. Though he's doing his best to ruin that legacy.